North Dakota State vs New Mexico Prediction, Odds & Props

College Football · Week 9 · Sat, Oct 24 · 10:00 PM ET

North Dakota State Bison

Away · 6-1

New Mexico Lobos

Home · 5-1

Current lines

Spread: UNM -4.5
Total: 41.5
Moneyline: NDSU +170 / UNM -190

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

No play

No recommended play — nothing here clears our bar. If forced to a side, the model leans u41.5, below our recommendation threshold.

The decider

New Mexico are without James Laubstein at quarterback (out); New Mexico are without Jack Layne at quarterback (out), and a quarterback change moves every number on this page. North Dakota State's offense meets a New Mexico defense that has been stingy; the edge in that matchup belongs to North Dakota State. North Dakota State score 29.4 a game and New Mexico allow 10.5.

The context

New Mexico have been the cleaner team with the ball, and in a close game that is usually the difference. Turnover margin: North Dakota State +1.1 a game, New Mexico +2.8.

Situational

The quarterback situation above is the adjustment; nothing else here moves the number.

North Dakota State Bison

Last five

W31-17 vs NEV
L7-13 @ UNLV
W28-0 vs WYO
W31-10 @ SAC
W38-32 @ AFA

Out

No players listed out.

New Mexico Lobos

Last five

W21-10 @ HAW
W61-7 vs UTEP
W42-18 @ NMSU
L6-14 @ OU
W70-7 vs Mercyhurst

Out

Drew Speech, S (Lower Leg)
James Laubstein, QB (Lower Leg)
Jahmir Torres, CB
Shawn Miller, WR
Abraham Williams, WR
Frankie Edwards III, CB

Every prop for North Dakota State at New Mexico

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