Duke vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Props

College Football · Week 9 · Fri, Oct 23 · 7:00 PM ET

Duke Blue Devils

Away · 4-2

Virginia Cavaliers

Home · 4-3

Current lines

Spread: UVA -1.5
Total: 47.5
Moneyline: DUKE +102 / UVA -120

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

No play

No recommended play — nothing here clears our bar. If forced to a side, the model leans Virginia -1.5, below our recommendation threshold.

The decider

Duke are without Lawrence Gardner at quarterback (out), and a quarterback change moves every number on this page. Duke's offense meets a Virginia defense that has been average; the edge in that matchup belongs to Duke. Duke score 31.7 a game and Virginia allow 19.7.

The context

Virginia have been the cleaner team with the ball, and in a close game that is usually the difference. Turnover margin: Duke +0.3 a game, Virginia +0.7.

Situational

Duke are missing Blake Rohrer (WR); Virginia are missing Justin Zames (TE), Kameron Courtney (WR) — worth a notch of caution.

Duke Blue Devils

Last five

L20-24 vs UNC
L25-28 @ GT
W62-7 vs William & Mary
W35-7 vs STAN
W31-27 @ ILL

Out

Blake Rohrer, WR
Jamien Little, WR
Kyon Loud, CB
Landan Callahan, CB
KD Cotton, S
Lawrence Gardner, QB

Virginia Cavaliers

Last five

L13-23 @ SMU
W28-25 vs SYR
L7-38 @ FSU
W42-3 vs DEL
L27-38 vs WVU

Out

Justin Zames, TE
Kameron Courtney, WR
Kam Robinson, LB
Jack Stevens, RB
Jaylen Jones, S
Triston Ward, WR

Every prop for Duke at Virginia

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