New Mexico vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Props

College Football · Week 11 · Fri, Nov 6 · 9:00 PM ET

New Mexico Lobos

Away · 7-1

Nevada Wolf Pack

Home · 3-5

Current lines

Spread: UNM -9.5
Total: 38.5
Moneyline: UNM -375 / NEV +325

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

No play

No recommended play — nothing here clears our bar. If forced to a side, the model leans o38.5, below our recommendation threshold.

The decider

New Mexico are without James Laubstein at quarterback (out); New Mexico are without Jack Layne at quarterback (out); Nevada are without AJ Bianco at quarterback (out); Nevada are without Carter Jones at quarterback (out), and a quarterback change moves every number on this page. New Mexico's offense meets a Nevada defense that has been average; the edge in that matchup belongs to New Mexico. New Mexico score 35.0 a game and Nevada allow 22.6.

The context

New Mexico have been the cleaner team with the ball, and in a close game that is usually the difference. Turnover margin: New Mexico +2.1 a game, Nevada -1.6.

Situational

The quarterback situation above is the adjustment; nothing else here moves the number.

New Mexico Lobos

Last five

W21-16 @ SJSU
W21-16 vs NDSU
W21-10 @ HAW
W61-7 vs UTEP
W42-18 @ NMSU

Out

Drew Speech, S (Lower Leg)
James Laubstein, QB (Lower Leg)
Jahmir Torres, CB
Shawn Miller, WR
Abraham Williams, WR
Frankie Edwards III, CB

Nevada Wolf Pack

Last five

L0-27 @ UCLA
W28-13 vs SJSU
L17-31 @ NDSU
W30-13 @ UTEP
L33-36 vs AFA

Out

Benjamin Wheeler, TE
AJ Bianco, QB (Ankle)
Logologo Va'a, DL (Ankle)
Brock Wattenbarger, DB
DJ Asiasi, TE
Carter Jones, QB (Arm)

Every prop for New Mexico at Nevada

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