Ball State vs Massachusetts Prediction, Odds & Props

College Football · Week 11 · Wed, Nov 4 · 7:00 PM ET

Ball State Cardinals

Away · 3-5

UMass Minutemen

Home · 4-4

Current lines

Spread: MASS -4.5
Total: 48.5
Moneyline: BALL +150 / MASS -170

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

No play

No recommended play — nothing here clears our bar. If forced to a side, the model leans Massachusetts, below our recommendation threshold.

The decider

Massachusetts are without Aedan McCarthy at quarterback (out), and a quarterback change moves every number on this page. Ball State's offense meets a Massachusetts defense that has been average; the edge in that matchup belongs to Ball State. Ball State score 22.0 a game and Massachusetts allow 21.1.

The context

Massachusetts have been the cleaner team with the ball, and in a close game that is usually the difference. Turnover margin: Ball State -0.3 a game, Massachusetts +0.8.

Situational

Ball State are missing Ace Cooper (WR), Mason Riggins (TE); Massachusetts are missing T.Y. Harding (WR) — worth a notch of caution.

Ball State Cardinals

Last five

W34-17 vs SAC
W32-31 @ BGSU
L14-45 @ NU
L24-39 vs TOL
L13-26 @ KENT

Out

Ace Cooper, WR
Mason Riggins, TE
Sean Ward, TE
Cole Coonrod, TE
Derion Talbert, WR

UMass Minutemen

Last five

L16-35 @ CONN
L18-25 @ BUFF
L19-20 vs M-OH
L14-38 vs EMU
W35-6 @ SAC

Out

Joshua Nobles, DL
T.Y. Harding, WR
Aedan McCarthy, QB
Raheim Sexil, CB
Dallas Elliott, WR
Zachary Betts, DL

Every prop for Ball State at Massachusetts

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