Iowa State vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Props

College Football · Week 11 · Sat, Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET

Iowa State Cyclones

Away · 4-4

Baylor Bears

Home · 5-3

Current lines

Spread: BAY -9.5
Total: 50.5
Moneyline: ISU +295 / BAY -375

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

No play

No recommended play — nothing here clears our bar. If forced to a side, the model leans o50.5, below our recommendation threshold.

The decider

Iowa State are without Connor Moberly at quarterback (out), and a quarterback change moves every number on this page. Iowa State's offense meets a Baylor defense that has been stingy; the edge in that matchup belongs to Iowa State. Iowa State score 24.4 a game and Baylor allow 15.2.

The context

Baylor have been the cleaner team with the ball, and in a close game that is usually the difference. Turnover margin: Iowa State +0.1 a game, Baylor +0.5.

Situational

Iowa State are missing Beni Ngoyi (CB); Baylor are missing Ashton Jones (WR) — worth a notch of caution.

Iowa State Cyclones

Last five

W51-49 vs OKST
L3-39 @ ARIZ
L10-24 @ BYU
W45-42 vs WVU
L17-31 vs UTAH

Out

Beni Ngoyi, CB
Connor Moberly, QB
Keaton Roskop, TE
Dominic Overby, WR (Knee)
Willie Breland III, LB (Knee)
Carter Pabst, WR

Baylor Bears

Last five

W41-9 @ UCF
L24-25 @ KU
L6-17 vs TCU
W55-19 @ ASU
W23-13 vs COLO

Out

Ashton Jones, WR

Every prop for Iowa State at Baylor

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