California vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Props

College Football · Week 9 · Sat, Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET

California Golden Bears

Away · 3-4

SMU Mustangs

Home · 5-1

Current lines

Spread: SMU -19.5
Total: 54.5
Moneyline: CAL +775 / SMU -1100

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

No play

No recommended play — nothing here clears our bar. If forced to a side, the model leans u54.5, below our recommendation threshold.

The decider

California are without Alonzo Esparza at quarterback (out), and a quarterback change moves every number on this page. California's offense meets a SMU defense that has been average; the edge in that matchup belongs to California. California score 23.9 a game and SMU allow 21.3.

The context

California have been the cleaner team with the ball, and in a close game that is usually the difference. Turnover margin: California +0.2 a game, SMU -0.5.

Situational

California are missing Ashten Emory (RB); SMU are missing Carterrious Brown (WR), Dramekco Green (RB) — worth a notch of caution.

California Golden Bears

Last five

L7-41 vs WAKE
W25-20 vs VT
L31-39 @ UNLV
L10-24 vs CLEM
W49-7 vs Wagner

Out

AJ Tuitele, LB
Ashten Emory, RB
Cam Sidney, DB
Ian Strong, WR
Alonzo Esparza, QB
Jordan Sanford, DB

SMU Mustangs

Last five

W23-13 vs UVA
W25-16 vs BC
W34-24 vs MOST
L31-41 @ LOU
W56-10 vs UC Davis

Out

Carterrious Brown, WR
Jaden MillinerJones, S
Dramekco Green, RB (Hand)
Jayvon Thomas, CB (Hand)
Daylon Singleton, WR
Jaelyn DavisRobinson, CB

Every prop for California at SMU

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