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Lightning vs Avalanche Prediction, Odds & Props

NHL · Fri, Oct 23 · 9:10 PM ET

Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning

Away · 7-2

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche

Home · 5-4

Current lines

Spread
COL -1.5
Total
6.5
Moneyline
TB +112 / COL -125

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

Sprinkle's read:TB Under 3.5 team total★★★★

A quiet offense against a full number

Tampa Bay has gone quiet, scoring 4.0 times a game over their last five, and tonight's number asks them to beat that.

The number

Tampa Bay would need to roughly lift their recent output to clear 3.5, and nothing in the last five games suggests that is close.

The decider

Blackwood is the weaker net narrowly right now — stopping about nine of ten, well off his own baseline — so Colorado's side of the scoreboard is the one likely to move.

The context

Both clubs have been playing ordinary games lately, so the pattern is not in dispute. Tampa Bay is putting 29.9 shots a game on net and finishing 11.5% of them.

Situational

Neither team is on a back-to-back and both had at least a day off; nothing here is worth adjusting for.

What breaks this

If Blackwood has another night like his last few, the under is gone early.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Last five

  • W4-1 vs PHI
  • W3-2 vs MIN
  • W5-3 @ NYI
  • L1-4 @ NYR
  • W4-3 vs SEA

Out

No players listed out.

Colorado Avalanche

Last five

  • L2-3 @ WPG
  • W7-3 @ CGY
  • L3-6 vs TOR
  • W3-2 @ DAL
  • W5-2 vs PIT

Out

No players listed out.

Top-rated props in this game

Anthony Cirelli

Tampa Bay Lightning

★★★★

Under 0.5 Points

  • Under this number in 6 of L10, 14 of L20 • .50 points a game L10 • 1 and 0 in the last two vs COL
  • Model and price both point under
  • Blackwood in net for COL, .895 save pct L10 • listed day-to-day, check warmups

Every prop for Lightning at Avalanche

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Sprinkle is a research tool, not a sportsbook. Lines move, so check your book before acting on any number. 21+ where legal.