Lightning vs Sabres Prediction, Odds & Props

NHL · Wed, Nov 11 · 7:10 PM ET

Tampa Bay Lightning

Away · 11-4

Buffalo Sabres

Home · 8-6

Current lines

Spread: TB -1.5
Total: 6.5
Moneyline: TB -125 / BUF +105

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

Sprinkle's read:BUF +1.5 puck line★★★

A dog that keeps it close

Buffalo has stayed within a goal in four of their last five, and the puck line pays you for a one-goal loss.

The number

At +1.5 a regulation loss by one still cashes; only a two-goal defeat, empty-netter included, beats it.

The decider

Vasilevskiy is the weaker net narrowly right now — stopping about nine of ten, well off his own baseline — so Tampa Bay's side of the scoreboard is the one likely to move.

The context

These two have been playing different games: Tampa Bay's games are track meets, Buffalo's are ordinary. This bet is really a question of which pattern holds. Buffalo is putting 29.1 shots a game on net and finishing 10.1% of them.

Situational

Tampa Bay is three games into a road trip — a reason for caution.

What breaks this

An empty-net goal turns a one-goal loss into two.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Last five

L3-6 @ COL
L4-5 @ UTAH
W6-4 vs WPG
W4-2 vs DET
W4-1 vs CHI

Out

No players listed out.

Buffalo Sabres

Last five

L3-4 @ WSH
W2-0 @ SJ
W7-6 @ ANA
W3-2 @ LA
L1-2 vs OTT

Out

No players listed out.

Every prop for Lightning at Sabres

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