Commanders vs 49ers Prediction, Odds & Props

NFL · Week 6 · Mon, Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ET · Monday Night Football

Washington Commanders

Away · 1-3-1

San Francisco 49ers

Home · 5-0

Current lines

Spread: SF -7.5
Total: 51.5
Moneyline: WSH +315 / SF -375

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

Sprinkle's read:49ers Under 14.5 first-half team total★★★

49ers under 14.5 in the first half is the play.

The decider

49ers' offense meets a Commanders defense that has been generous; the edge in that matchup belongs to 49ers.

The context

Commanders have been the cleaner team with the ball, and in a close game that is usually the difference.

Situational

Commanders are missing Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB), Leo Chenal (LB); 49ers are missing Marques Sigle (S), Mike Evans (WR, questionable) — worth a notch of caution.

Washington Commanders

Last five

T27-27 vs NYG
L13-30 vs IND
W33-31 vs SEA
L20-37 @ DAL
L22-24 @ PHI

Out

Jacory Croskey-Merritt, RB (Groin)
Jeremy McNichols, RB (Quadriceps)
Leo Chenal, LB (Neck)
Charles Omenihu, DE (Groin)
Javontae Jean-Baptiste, LB (Pectoral)
Marcus Mariota, QB (Knee)

San Francisco 49ers

Last five

W32-29 @ SEA
W24-14 vs DEN
W36-30 vs ARI
W35-13 vs MIA
W27-7 @ LAR

Out

Marques Sigle, S (Ankle)
Deebo Samuel (Hamstring)
Nick Bosa, DE (Calf)
Garret Wallow, LB (Hamstring)

Top-rated props in this game

Brock Purdy

San Francisco 49ers

★★★★

Over 254.5 Passing Yards

Right around this number most weeks • over this number in 2 of L5
Model projects 32.5 yards above the number
Leaky pass defense, 255 pass yds/g allowed • pass rush down 6 starters

Jayden Daniels

Washington Commanders

★★★★

Under 37.5 Rushing Yards

Right around this number most weeks • under this number in 2 of L5
Model has the under at 64%
Big underdog, pass-heavy script likely • mid-pack run D, 98 run yds/g allowed

Rachaad White

Washington Commanders

★★★★

Under 44.5 Rushing Yards

Production is steady, this number sits above his range • under this number in 5 of L5
Model projects 19.9 yards below the number
Chasing points is the likely script • mid-pack run D, 98 run yds/g allowed

Chig Okonkwo

Washington Commanders

★★★★

Over 2.5 Receptions

Numbers hold in a tight band • over this number in 2 of L5 • 4 catches vs 49ers last Dec
Model has the over at 66%
Chasing points is the likely script • rotational role, 14% target share

Every prop for Commanders at 49ers

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