Patriots vs Dolphins Prediction, Odds & Props

NFL · Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ET

New England Patriots

Away · 4-3

Miami Dolphins

Home · 1-5

Current lines

Spread: NE -7.5
Total: 44.5
Moneyline: NE -375 / MIA +330

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

No play

No recommended play — nothing here clears our bar. If forced to a side, the model leans Dolphins +7.5, below our recommendation threshold.

The decider

Patriots' offense meets a Dolphins defense that has been average; the edge in that matchup belongs to Dolphins. Patriots score 22.9 a game and Dolphins allow 26.2.

The context

Dolphins have been the cleaner team with the ball, and in a close game that is usually the difference. Turnover margin: Patriots -1.0 a game, Dolphins -0.5.

Situational

Patriots are missing Mack Hollins (WR); Dolphins are missing De'Von Achane (RB) — worth a notch of caution.

New England Patriots

Last five

L24-30 @ CHI
W26-19 vs NYJ
W45-17 vs LV
W29-26 @ BUF
L6-35 @ JAX

Out

Romeo Doubs, WR (Shoulder)
Mack Hollins, WR (Calf)
Alijah Vera-Tucker, G (Hamstring)
Behren Morton, QB (Coach's Decision)
Joshua Farmer, DT (Coach's Decision)
Marcus Bryant, OT (Ankle)

Miami Dolphins

Last five

W28-25 @ NYJ
L24-31 vs CIN
L10-15 @ MIN
L10-24 vs KC
L13-35 @ SF

Out

De'Von Achane, RB (Knee)
Reese Taylor, CB (Quadriceps)
Darrell Baker Jr., CB
Ronnie Harrison Jr., LB (Hamstring)
Trey Moore, LB (Ankle)

Every prop for Patriots at Dolphins

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