North Carolina vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Props

College Football · Week 8 · Sat, Oct 17 · 3:35 PM ET

North Carolina Tar Heels

Away · 4-2

Duke Blue Devils

Home · 4-2

Scouting report

No play

No recommended play — nothing here clears our bar. If forced to a side, the model leans North Carolina +2.5, below our recommendation threshold.

The decider

Duke are without Lawrence Gardner at quarterback (out), and a quarterback change moves every number on this page. North Carolina's offense meets a Duke defense that has been stingy; the edge in that matchup belongs to North Carolina. North Carolina score 23.5 a game and Duke allow 16.0.

The context

Duke have been the cleaner team with the ball, and in a close game that is usually the difference. Turnover margin: North Carolina -0.4 a game, Duke +0.3.

Situational

North Carolina are missing Shamar Easter (TE), Mason Humphrey (WR); Duke are missing Blake Rohrer (WR) — worth a notch of caution.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Last five

W24-20 @ DUKE
W21-17 @ PITT
L26-37 vs ND
L20-28 @ CLEM
W35-3 vs East Tennessee State

Out

Shamar Easter, TE
Jalon Thompson, DB
Mason Humphrey, WR
Keeyun Chapman, WR
Benjamin Hall, RB (Hamstring)
Peyton Waters, DB (Hamstring)

Duke Blue Devils

Last five

L20-24 vs UNC
L25-28 @ GT
W62-7 vs William & Mary
W35-7 vs STAN
W31-27 @ ILL

Out

Blake Rohrer, WR
Jamien Little, WR
Kyon Loud, CB
Landan Callahan, CB
KD Cotton, S
Lawrence Gardner, QB

Every prop for North Carolina at Duke

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