Louisville vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Props

College Football · Week 12 · Sat, Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET

Louisville Cardinals

Away · 6-3

North Carolina Tar Heels

Home · 5-4

Current lines

Spread: LOU -3.5
Total: 59.5
Moneyline: LOU -170 / UNC +142

Best available price across major books when this page updated.

Scouting report

No play

No recommended play — nothing here clears our bar. If forced to a side, the model leans u60.5, below our recommendation threshold.

The decider

Louisville's offense meets a North Carolina defense that has been average; the edge in that matchup belongs to Louisville. Louisville score 40.8 a game and North Carolina allow 22.8.

The context

Louisville have been the cleaner team with the ball, and in a close game that is usually the difference. Turnover margin: Louisville +0.8 a game, North Carolina +0.0.

Situational

Louisville are missing Hamilton Atkins (TE), Lawayne McCoy (WR); North Carolina are missing Keeyun Chapman (WR) — worth a notch of caution.

Louisville Cardinals

Last five

W44-17 @ GT
W52-24 vs STAN
W34-26 @ SYR
W44-20 vs FSU
L28-31 @ NCSU

Out

Daylen Russell, DL
Hamilton Atkins, TE
Lawayne McCoy, WR (Knee)
Payton Cook, WR

North Carolina Tar Heels

Last five

W38-21 @ CONN
L35-38 vs MIA
L30-31 vs SYR
W24-20 @ DUKE
W21-17 @ PITT

Out

Keeyun Chapman, WR

Every prop for Louisville at North Carolina

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